Europe and Eurasia
Policy makers should begin preparing contingency plans, ranging from humanitarian operations to international peacekeeping missions, in preparation for a potential collapse of Russian control over the North Caucasus within the next decade.
Opponents of independence claim that Scotland cannot support itself economically outside of the United Kingdom, specifically with regard to sovereign debt and budget deficits. However, economic data contained within the SNP’s recent white paper, “Scotland’s Future,” presents compelling evidence that the economic case for Scottish independence is far more favorable than first imagined.
Central Asia should focus on further developing its rapidly growing economic ties with East Asia instead of placing its economic future in the hands of Moscow.
European Union members concerned about human rights in Turkey should pursue progress through accession talks.
The Obama administration has clearly communicated a shift in the United States’ geopolitical focus to the Asian arena. While this shift is well justified, the White House should ensure it does not ignore developments in the Arctic arena.